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Estonia v Italy – Line-ups, stats and preview


Estonia v Italy Match Preview

Italy’s bid for automatic World Cup qualification sees them travel to Estonia on Saturday night – and they need another win.

Italy go into the weekend six points behind leaders Norway but with a game in hand so remain in contention for top spot and a place at next year’s finals.

Estonia are 119 places below Italy in the Fifa rankings and were beaten 5-0 when the sides last met.

Estonia v Italy team news

Estonia have captain Karol Mets back after injury but striker Henri Anier is suspended.

Italy are missing two wingers with both Mattia Zaccagni and Matteo Politano pulling out of the squad with injuries.

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia could be in line to make his international debut.

Estonia v Italy expected line-ups

Estonia: Hein; Schjonning-Larsen, Kuusk, Paskotsi, Saliste; Shein, Palumets; Yakovlev, Kait, Sinyavskiy; Sappinen

Italy: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco; Orsolini, Barella, Locatelli, Tonali; Kean, Retegui

Estonia v Italy match stats

  • Estonia have lost 7 of the last 8 matches in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • Estonia have lost the last 3 home matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • Estonia have lost 5 of the last 7 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 4 of the last 5 Estonia matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • Estonia have lost 3 of the last 4 home matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 10 of the last 12 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 8 of the last 9 Italy away matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Italy have won the last 3 matches in a row while scoring more than 1.5 goals
  • Italy have won the last 3 matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification while scoring more than 1.5 goals
  • In 5 of the last 6 Italy away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5

How to watch Estonia v Italy

The match is available to stream in the UK through Amazon’s Prime PPV service.

Prediction

Italy seem to be back on their way up after a poor start to the campaign and will have too muuch for their hosts in a routine win.

Estonia 0-2 Italy

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